Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio As an Independent Predictor of Survival in Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension: An Exploratory Study

Background: The blood neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has recently emerged as a powerful predictor of adverse outcomes in some cardiovascular and lung diseases. Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a lethal vasculopathy associated with increased inflammation. Although PAH exhibits a higher prevalence among women, men have a poorer prognosis. We investigated the NLR as an independent predictor of transplant-free survival in PAH.

Methods: We performed a retrospective analysis of 78 PAH patients from the Quebec PAHBiobank (71% female). We used univariate and multivariate (adjusted for age, sex, renal function, and disease severity) Cox regression analyses to assess the relationship between the NLR and transplant-free survival, in the whole sample, and according to sex. The NLR was categorized as high (≥ 4.8) or low (< 4.8) using receiver operating characteristic analysis. Unadjusted Kaplan-Meier analysis estimated survival per NLR category.

Results: The NLR was higher in patients who died, compared to that in patients who had transplant-free survival ( < 0.05). The NLR was an independent predictor of event-free survival in PAH (unadjusted hazard ratio: 1.11, 95% confidence interval: 1.04-1.18, which remained significant after adjustment for covariates). The high-NLR group had lower 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival compared to those with a low NLR ( < 0.001). The NLR remains a predictor of survival in women.

Conclusions: The NLR is an independent predictor of transplant-free survival in PAH. We report a potential sexual dimorphism in the ability of the NLR to predict mortality in PAH, emphasizing the importance of considering sex-related differences in the development of biomarkers in PAH.