Mortality and Morbidity of Infants Born Extremely Preterm at Tertiary Medical Centers in China From 2010 to 2019

Importance: Extreme prematurity is associated with a substantial burden on health care systems worldwide. However, little is known about the prognosis of infants born extremely preterm in developing countries, such as China.

Objective: To describe survival and major morbidity among infants born extremely preterm in China over the past decade.

Design, Setting, And Participants: This retrospective cohort study was conducted from January 1, 2010, through December 31, 2019. Included individuals were infants with gestational age less than 28 weeks discharged from 1 of 68 neonatal intensive care units located in 31 provinces in China. Data were analyzed from August through October 2020.

Exposure: Extremely preterm birth.

Main Outcomes And Measures: Survival to discharge and major morbidity (ie, bronchopulmonary dysplasia, grades III-IV intraventricular hemorrhage, white matter injury, stage II-III necrotizing enterocolitis, sepsis, or severe retinopathy of prematurity) were measured.

Results: Among 8514 eligible infants, 5295 (62.2%) were male and 116 infants (2.0%) were small for gestational age (SGA). Overall, 5302 infants (62.3%) survived to discharge. The survival rate was 1 of 21 infants (4.8%) at 22 weeks, 13 of 71 infants (18.3%) at 23 weeks, 144 of 408 infants (35.3%) at 24 weeks, 480 of 987 infants (48.6%) at 25 weeks, 1423 of 2331 infants (61.0%) at 26 weeks, and 3241 of 4692 infants (69.1%) at 27 weeks. Survival increased from 136 of 241 infants (56.4%; 95% CI, 50.1%-62.7%) in 2010 to 1110 of 1633 infants (68.0%; 95% CI, 65.7%-70.2%) in 2019 for infants born at 24 to 27 weeks (mean difference, 11.5%; 95% CI, 4.9%-18.2%; P < .001), without a significant change for infants born at less than 24 weeks. Major morbidity was found in 5999 of 8281 infants overall, for a rate of 72.4%, which increased from 116 of 223 infants (52.0%; 95% CI, 45.4%-58.6%) to 1363 of 1656 infants (82.3%; 95% CI, 80.5%-84.1%) from 2010 to 2019 (mean difference, 30.3%; 95% CI, 23.5%-37.1%, P < .001). Regional variations in survival were identified, with an almost 2-fold increase (1.94-fold; 95% CI, 1.66-2.27; P < .001) from 188 of 474 infants (39.7%) in northwest China to 887 of 1153 infants (76.9%) in north China. Gestational age (adjusted risk ratio [aRR], 1.084; 95% CI, 1.063-1.105; P < .001), birth weight (aRR, 1.028; 95% CI, 1.020-1.036; P < .001), premature rupture of membranes (aRR, 1.025; 95% CI, 1.002-1.048; P = .03), and antenatal steroids (aRR, 1.029; 95% CI, 1.004-1.055; P = .02) were associated with improved survival, while being born SGA (aRR, 0.801; 95% CI, 0.679-0.945; P = .01), being male (aRR, 0.975; 95% CI, 0.954-0.997; P = .02), multiple birth (aRR, 0.955; 95% CI, 0.929-0.982; P = .001), having a mother with gestational diabetes (aRR, 0.946; 95% CI, 0.913-0.981; P = .002), and low Apgar score (aRR, 0.951; 95% CI, 0.925-0.977; P < .001) were found to be risk factors associated with decreased chances of survival.

Conclusions And Relevance: This study found that infants born extremely preterm were at increased risk of mortality and morbidity in China, with a survival rate that improved over time and a major morbidity rate that increased. These findings suggest that more active and effective treatment strategies are needed, especially for infants born at gestational age 25 to 27 weeks.