Giorgio Guzzetta
Overview
Explore the profile of Giorgio Guzzetta including associated specialties, affiliations and a list of published articles.
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Articles
73
Citations
1447
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Recent Articles
1.
Kaye A, Guzzetta G, Tildesley M, Thompson R
PLoS Comput Biol
. 2025 Feb;
21(2):e1012364.
PMID: 39970184
For many infectious diseases, the risk of outbreaks varies seasonally. If a pathogen is usually absent from a host population, a key public health policy question is whether the pathogen's...
2.
Fiandrino S, Bizzotto A, Guzzetta G, Merler S, Baldo F, Valdano E, et al.
Epidemics
. 2025 Feb;
50:100819.
PMID: 39965358
Collaborative hubs that integrate multiple teams to generate ensemble projections and forecasts for shared targets are now regarded as state-of-the-art in epidemic predictive modeling. In this paper, we introduce Influcast,...
3.
Marziano V, Guzzetta G, Longini I, Merler S
Emerg Infect Dis
. 2024 Sep;
30(10):2042-2046.
PMID: 39255234
We used published data from outbreak investigations of monkeypox virus clade I in the Democratic Republic of the Congo to estimate the distributions of critical epidemiological parameters. We estimated a...
4.
Bizzotto A, Guzzetta G, Marziano V, Del Manso M, Urdiales A, Petrone D, et al.
Front Public Health
. 2024 Sep;
12:1430920.
PMID: 39234082
Background: The time-varying reproduction number R is a critical variable for situational awareness during infectious disease outbreaks; however, delays between infection and reporting of cases hinder its accurate estimation in...
5.
Sacco C, Manica M, Marziano V, Fabiani M, Mateo-Urdiales A, Guzzetta G, et al.
Int J Epidemiol
. 2024 Jun;
53(3).
PMID: 38847783
Background: Surveillance data and vaccination registries are widely used to provide real-time vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates, which can be biased due to underreported (i.e. under-ascertained and under-notified) infections. Here, we...
6.
dAndrea V, Trentini F, Marziano V, Zardini A, Manica M, Guzzetta G, et al.
BMC Infect Dis
. 2024 Apr;
24(1):450.
PMID: 38684947
Quantifying the potential spatial spread of an infectious pathogen is key to defining effective containment and control strategies. The aim of this study is to estimate the risk of SARS-CoV-2...
7.
Guzzetta G, Marziano V, Mammone A, Siddu A, Ferraro F, Caraglia A, et al.
Nat Commun
. 2024 Mar;
15(1):2283.
PMID: 38480715
In 2022, a global outbreak of mpox occurred, predominantly impacting men who have sex with men (MSM). The rapid decline of this epidemic is yet to be fully understood. We...
8.
Zardini A, Menegale F, Gobbi A, Manica M, Guzzetta G, dAndrea V, et al.
Lancet Planet Health
. 2024 Jan;
8(1):e30-e40.
PMID: 38199719
Background: Estimates of the spatiotemporal distribution of different mosquito vector species and the associated risk of transmission of arboviruses are key to design adequate policies for preventing local outbreaks and...
9.
Manica M, Marini G, Solimini A, Guzzetta G, Poletti P, Scognamiglio P, et al.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis
. 2023 Sep;
17(9):e0011610.
PMID: 37708121
Background: Emerging arboviral diseases in Europe pose a challenge due to difficulties in detecting and diagnosing cases during the initial circulation of the pathogen. Early outbreak detection enables public health...
10.
Marziano V, Guzzetta G, Menegale F, Sacco C, Petrone D, Urdiales A, et al.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses
. 2023 Aug;
17(8):e13181.
PMID: 37599801
Background: The difficulty in identifying SARS-CoV-2 infections has not only been the major obstacle to control the COVID-19 pandemic but also to quantify changes in the proportion of infections resulting...