A Prospective Multi-cohort Study Identifies and Validates a 5-gene Peripheral Blood Signature Predictive of Immunotherapy Response in Non-small Cell Lung Cancer

Background: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have revolutionized the treatment landscape for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The variability in patient responses necessitates a blood-based, multi-cohort gene signature to predict ICI response in NSCLC.

Methods: We performed transcriptomic profiling of peripheral blood mononuclear cell (PBMC) and buffy coat (BC) samples from three independent cohorts of NSCLC patients treated with ICIs: a retrospective cohort (PMBCR, n = 59), a retrospective validation cohort (BC, n = 44), and a prospective validation cohort (PBMCP, n = 42). We identified a 5-gene signature (UQCRB, NDUFA3, CDKN2D, FMNL1-DT, and APOL3) predictive of ICI response and validated its clinical utility in the prospective PBMCP cohort. Response was evaluated using RECIST criteria, and patients were followed up for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS).

Results: In the prospective PBMCP cohort, the 5-gene signature demonstrated high accuracy in stratifying patients into responders and non-responders (AUC = 0.89, 95% CI: 0.80-0.99). Predicted responders exhibited significantly longer PFS compared to predicted non-responders (median: 13.8 months vs. 4.2 months, HR = 0.21, 95% CI: 0.07-0.58, p = 0.005).

Conclusion: Our study confirms a 5-gene signature as a key biomarker for ICI response in NSCLC, enhancing treatment precision.