Novel Insights into Causal Effects of Serum Lipids and Lipid-modifying Targets on Cholelithiasis

Objective: Different serum lipids and lipid-modifying targets should affect the risk of cholelithiasis differently, however, whether such effects are causal is still controversial and we aimed to answer this question.

Design: We prospectively estimated the associations of four serum lipids with cholelithiasis in UK Biobank using the Cox proportional hazard model, including total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and triglycerides (TG). Furthermore, we estimated the causal associations of the genetically predicted serum lipids with cholelithiasis in Europeans using the Mendelian randomisation (MR) design. Finally, both drug-target MR and colocalisation analyses were performed to estimate the lipid-modifying targets' effects on cholelithiasis, including , , , and .

Results: We found that serum levels of LDL-C and HDL-C were inversely associated with cholelithiasis risk and such associations were linear. However, the serum level of TC was non-linearly associated with cholelithiasis risk where lower TC was associated with higher risk of cholelithiasis, and the serum TG should be in an inverted 'U-shaped' relationship with it. The MR analyses supported that lower TC and higher TG levels were two independent causal risk factors. The drug-target MR analysis suggested that inhibition should reduce the risk of cholelithiasis, which was corroborated by colocalisation analysis.

Conclusion: Lower serum TC can causally increase the risk of cholelithiasis. The cholelithiasis risk would increase with the elevation of serum TG but would decrease when exceeding 2.57 mmol/L. The use of inhibitors should prevent its risk.