Risk of Intraepithelial Neoplasia Grade 3 or Worse (CIN3+) Among Women Examined by a 5-Type HPV MRNA Test During 2003 and 2004, Followed Through 2015
Overview
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Background: The study's purpose was to evaluate the performance of a five-type HPV mRNA test to predict cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 or worse (CIN3+) during up to 12 years of follow-up.
Methods: Overall, 19,153 women were recruited by gynecologists and general practitioners in different parts of Norway between 2003 and 2004. The study population comprised 9582 women of these women, aged 25-69 years with normal cytology and a valid five-type HPV mRNA test at baseline. Follow-up for CIN3+ through 2015 was conducted in the Norwegian Cervical Cancer Screening Programme.
Results: The cumulative incidence of CIN3+ by baseline status for HPV mRNA-positive and mRNA-negative women were 20.8% and 1.1%, respectively ( < 0.001). Age did not affect the long-term ability of the HPV mRNA test to predict CIN3+ during follow-up.
Conclusion: The low long-term risk of CIN3+ among HPV mRNA-negative women and the high long-term risk among HPV mRNA-positive women strengthen the evidence that the five-type HPV mRNA test is an appropriate screening test for women of all ages. Our findings suggest that women with a negative result may extend the screening interval up to 10 years.
Gustafson L, Krog L, Sardini B, Tranberg M, Petersen L, Andersen B Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand. 2025; 104(2):342-349.
PMID: 39745094 PMC: 11782055. DOI: 10.1111/aogs.15019.
Flores C, Falang B, Gomez-Laguna L, Gutierrez G, Leon J, Uribe M Cancers (Basel). 2024; 16(13).
PMID: 39001547 PMC: 11240307. DOI: 10.3390/cancers16132485.