Smoking and Infertility: Multivariable Regression and Mendelian Randomization Analyses in the Norwegian Mother, Father and Child Cohort Study
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Objective: To investigate the association between smoking and infertility.
Design: Prospective study.
Setting: Nationwide cohort.
Patients: 28,606 women and 27,096 men with questionnaire and genotype information from the Norwegian Mother, Father, and Child Cohort Study.
Intervention: Self-reported information on smoking (having ever smoked [both sexes], age at initiation [women only], cessation [women only], and cigarettes/week in current smokers [both sexes]) was gathered. Genetically predetermined levels or likelihood of presenting these traits were estimated for Mendelian randomization.
Main Outcome Measure: Infertility (time-to-pregnancy ≥12 months).
Results: Having ever smoked was unrelated to infertility in women or men. Higher smoking intensity in women was associated with greater infertility odds (+1 standard deviation [SD, 48 cigarettes/week]: odds ratio [OR] 1.19; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.11-1.28; OR 1.12; 95% CI, 1.03-1.21), also after adjusting for the partner's tobacco use. Later smoking initiation (+1 SD [3.2 years]: OR 0.94; 95% CI, 0.88-0.99; OR 0.89; 95% CI, 0.84-0.95) and smoking cessation (vs. not quitting: OR 0.83; 95% CI, 0.75-0.91; OR 0.83; 95% CI, 0.75-0.93) were linked to decreased infertility in women. Nevertheless, Mendelian randomization results were not directionally consistent for smoking intensity and cessation and were estimated imprecisely in the 2-sample approach. In men, greater smoking intensity was not robustly associated with infertility in multivariable regression and Mendelian randomization.
Conclusions: We did not find robust evidence of an effect of smoking on infertility. This may be due to a true lack of effect, weak genetic instruments, or other kinds of confounding.
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