Computed Tomography-based Radiomics Decodes Prognostic and Molecular Differences in Interstitial Lung Disease Related to Systemic Sclerosis

Background: Radiomic features calculated from routine medical images show great potential for personalised medicine in cancer. Patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc), a rare, multiorgan autoimmune disorder, have a similarly poor prognosis due to interstitial lung disease (ILD). Here, our objectives were to explore computed tomography (CT)-based high-dimensional image analysis ("radiomics") for disease characterisation, risk stratification and relaying information on lung pathophysiology in SSc-ILD.

Methods: We investigated two independent, prospectively followed SSc-ILD cohorts (Zurich, derivation cohort, n=90; Oslo, validation cohort, n=66). For every subject, we defined 1355 robust radiomic features from standard-of-care CT images. We performed unsupervised clustering to identify and characterise imaging-based patient clusters. A clinically applicable prognostic quantitative radiomic risk score (qRISSc) for progression-free survival (PFS) was derived from radiomic profiles using supervised analysis. The biological basis of qRISSc was assessed in a cross-species approach by correlation with lung proteomic, histological and gene expression data derived from mice with bleomycin-induced lung fibrosis.

Results: Radiomic profiling identified two clinically and prognostically distinct SSc-ILD patient clusters. To evaluate the clinical applicability, we derived and externally validated a binary, quantitative radiomic risk score (qRISSc) composed of 26 features that accurately predicted PFS and significantly improved upon clinical risk stratification parameters in multivariable Cox regression analyses in the pooled cohorts. A high qRISSc score, which identifies patients at risk for progression, was reverse translatable from human to experimental ILD and correlated with fibrotic pathway activation.

Conclusions: Radiomics-based risk stratification using routine CT images provides complementary phenotypic, clinical and prognostic information significantly impacting clinical decision making in SSc-ILD.