Procalcitonin As an Early Predictor of Intra-abdominal Infections Following Gastric Cancer Resection

Background: The purpose of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of postoperative procalcitonin (PCT) and C-reactive protein (CRP) for their ability to detect Intra-abdominal infections (IAIs) in patients after GC surgery.

Methods: Patients who underwent elective gastrectomy for primary GC were retrospectively enrolled between October 2018 and October 2019. The PCT and CRP levels and white blood cell (WBC) count were measured before surgery and on postoperative days (POD) 1, 3, 5, and 7. The differences in serum PCT, CRP, and WBC levels between IAIs and non-IAIs groups were compared. Diagnostic accuracy was determined by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses identified independent clinical factors that predicted postoperative IAIs.

Results: A total of 155 patients who underwent GC surgery were enrolled. IAIs were observed in 12 patients (7.74%). The postoperative CRP and PCT values in the IAI group were higher than those in the non-IAI group. PCT had superior diagnostic accuracy on POD 3 (area under the curve 0.769) with an optimal cutoff value of 2.03 ng/mL, yielding 75% sensitivity, 87.4% specificity, and 97.6% negative predictive value. Multivariate analysis identified a PCT level of 2.03 mg/mL or greater on POD 3 as a significant predictive factor for IAIs after gastrectomy (odds ratio: 21.447, 95% confidence interval: 5.081-91.672).

Conclusions: PCT values less than 2.03 ng/mL on POD 3 is an excellent negative predictor of IAIs, which may ensure a safe early discharge after gastric cancer surgery.