Thymoma: a Multivariate Analysis of Factors Predicting Survival

Background: Despite complete surgical excision, malignant thymomas often recur with resultant death. We reviewed our series to determine which factors independently predict survival after surgical resection.

Methods: A retrospective analysis of patients operated on for thymoma between 1949 and 1993 at Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center was performed. Clinical data were collected from chart review. Only patients with a pathology report confirming the diagnosis of thymoma were included in this analysis. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were generated and comparisons of survival analyzed by log rank test. Multivariate analysis was performed by the Cox proportional hazard model.

Results: One hundred eighteen patients with thymoma underwent operation. There were 86 complete resections (73%), 18 partial resections (15%), and 14 biopsies (12%). By Masaoka staging, 25 patients were stage I (21%), 41 stage II (35%), 43 stage III (36%), and 9 stage IVa (8%). Overall survival was 77% at 5 years and 55% at 10 years. Tumor recurred in 25 (29%) of 86 completely resected thymomas. Stage of disease (p = 0.03) was the only independent prognostic factor affecting recurrence. By multivariate analysis, stage (p = 0.003), tumor size (p = 0.0001), histology (p = 0.004), and extent of surgical resection (p = 0.0006) were independent predictors of long-term survival.

Conclusions: Patients with stage I disease require no further therapy after complete surgical resection. Neoadjuvant therapy should be considered for patients with large tumors and invasive disease.