A Machine Learning-Based Model for Preoperative Assessment and Malignancy Prediction in Patients with Atypia of Undetermined Significance Thyroid Nodules

The aim of this study was to investigate the preoperative clinical and hematologic variables, including the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), that can be used to predict malignancy in patients with atypia of undetermined significance (AUS) thyroid nodules; we further aimed to develop a machine learning-based prediction model. We enrolled 280 patients who underwent surgery for AUS nodules at the Wonju Severance Christian Hospital between 2018 and 2022. A logistic regression-based model was trained and tested using cross-validation, with the performance evaluated using metrics such as the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Among the 280 patients, 116 (41.4%) were confirmed to have thyroid malignancies. Independent predictors of malignancy included age, tumor size, and the Korean Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System (K-TIRADS) classification, particularly in patients under 55 years of age. The addition of NLR to these predictors significantly improved the malignancy prediction accuracy in this subgroup. Incorporating NLR into preoperative assessments provides a cost-effective, accessible tool for refining surgical decision making in younger patients with AUS nodules.