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Predictive Analytics in Heart Failure Risk, Readmission, and Mortality Prediction: A Review

Overview
Journal Cureus
Date 2024 Dec 19
PMID 39697926
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Abstract

Heart failure is a leading cause of death among people worldwide. The cost of treatment can be prohibitive, and early prediction of heart failure would reduce treatment costs to patients and hospitals. Improved readmission prediction would also greatly help hospitals, allowing them to manage their treatment programs and budgets better. This literature review aims to summarize recent studies of predictive analytics models that have been constructed to predict heart failure risk, readmission, and mortality. Random forest, logistic regression, neural networks, and XGBoost were among the most common modeling techniques applied. Most selected studies leveraged structured electronic health record data, including demographics, clinical values, lifestyle, and comorbidities, with some incorporating unstructured clinical notes. Preprocessing through imputation and feature selection were frequently employed in building the predictive analytics models. The reviewed studies exhibit demonstrated promise for predictive analytics in improving early heart failure diagnosis, readmission risk stratification, and mortality prediction. This review study highlights rising research activities and the potential of predictive analytics, especially the implementation of machine learning, in advancing heart failure outcomes. Further rigorous, comprehensive syntheses and head-to-head benchmarking of predictive models are needed to derive robust evidence for clinical adoption.

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