» Articles » PMID: 39466772

A Conformable Fractional Finite Difference Method for Modified Mathematical Modeling of SAR-CoV-2 (COVID-19) Disease

Overview
Journal PLoS One
Date 2024 Oct 28
PMID 39466772
Authors
Affiliations
Soon will be listed here.
Abstract

In this research, the ongoing COVID-19 disease by considering the vaccination strategies into mathematical models is discussed. A modified and comprehensive mathematical model that captures the complex relationships between various population compartments, including susceptible (Sα), exposed (Eα), infected (Uα), quarantined (Qα), vaccinated (Vα), and recovered (Rα) individuals. Using conformable derivatives, a system of equations that precisely captures the complex interconnections inside the COVID-19 transmission. The basic reproduction number (R0), which is an essential indicator of disease transmission, is the subject of investigation calculating using the next-generation matrix approach. We also compute the R0 sensitivity indices, which offer important information about the relative influence of various factors on the overall dynamics. Local stability and global stability of R0 have been proved at a disease-free equilibrium point. By designing the finite difference approach of the conformable fractional derivative using the Taylor series. The present methodology provides us highly accurate convergence of the obtained solution. Present research fills research addresses the understanding gap between conceptual frameworks and real-world implementations, demonstrating the vaccination therapy's significant possibilities in the struggle against the COVID-19 pandemic.

References
1.
Li Q, Guan X, Wu P, Wang X, Zhou L, Tong Y . Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus-Infected Pneumonia. N Engl J Med. 2020; 382(13):1199-1207. PMC: 7121484. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2001316. View

2.
Srivastav A, Kumar Tiwari P, Srivastava P, Ghosh M, Kang Y . A mathematical model for the impacts of face mask, hospitalization and quarantine on the dynamics of COVID-19 in India: deterministic vs. stochastic. Math Biosci Eng. 2021; 18(1):182-213. DOI: 10.3934/mbe.2021010. View

3.
Wu J, Leung K, Leung G . Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international spread of the 2019-nCoV outbreak originating in Wuhan, China: a modelling study. Lancet. 2020; 395(10225):689-697. PMC: 7159271. DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30260-9. View

4.
Zu J, Li M, Li Z, Shen M, Xiao Y, Ji F . Transmission patterns of COVID-19 in the mainland of China and the efficacy of different control strategies: a data- and model-driven study. Infect Dis Poverty. 2020; 9(1):83. PMC: 7338105. DOI: 10.1186/s40249-020-00709-z. View

5.
Tang B, Xia F, Tang S, Bragazzi N, Li Q, Sun X . The effectiveness of quarantine and isolation determine the trend of the COVID-19 epidemic in the final phase of the current outbreak in China. Int J Infect Dis. 2020; 96:636-647. PMC: 7269954. DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.05.113. View