An Increase of Serum CA-125 to Two Times of Nadir Level Strongly Predicts the Image-identified Relapse of Serous Ovarian Cancer

Using 70 U/ml or 35 U/ml as CA125 routine abnormal threshold may result in omissions in the relapse detection of Ovarian cancer (OvCa). This study aimed to clarify the association between a biochemical relapse (only the elevation of CA125) and an image-identified relapse to predict the relapsed lesions better. 162 patients who achieved complete clinical response were enrolled from women diagnosed with stage I-IV serous ovarian, tubal, and peritoneal cancers from January 2013 to June 2019 at our center. The CA125 level of 2 × nadir was defined as the indicator of image-identified relapse (P < 0.001). Compared to CA125 level exceeding 35 U/ml, the 2 × nadir of CA125 improve the sensitivity of image-identified relapse (84.9% vs 67.4%, P < 0.001); the 2 × nadir value can act as an earlier warning relapse signal with a longer median time to image-identified relapse (2.7 vs. 0 months, P < 0.001). Of the relapsed population, there was no difference of CA125 changing trend between the neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) and primary debulking surgery (PDS) group after initial treatment. Compared with 35 U/ml, CA125 reaching 2 × nadir during the follow-up process might be a more sensitive and early relapse signal in patients with serous OvCa. This criterion may help guide patients to be recommended for imaging examination to detect potential relapse in time.