Should Major Trauma Fractures Be Part of a Fracture Liaison Service's Remit: a Cost-benefit Estimate
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Purpose: To compare the 3-year refracture rate following minimal trauma (MT) and non-minimal trauma (non-MT) injuries and evaluate the cost of extending fracture liaison service (FLS) operations to non-MT presentations.
Methods: Patients aged 50, or above presenting to the John Hunter Hospital with a fracture in calendar year 2018 were identified through the Integrated Patient Management System (IPMS) of the Hunter New England Health Service's (HNEHS), and re-presentation to any HNEHS facility over the following 3 years monitored. The refracture rate of MT and non-MT presentations was compared and analysed using Cox proportional hazards regression models. The cost of including non-MT patients was estimated through the use of a previously conducted micro-costing analysis. The operational fidelity of the FLS to the previous estimate was confirmed by comparing the 3-year refracture rate of MT presentations in the two studies.
Results: The 3-year refracture rate following a MT injury was 8% and after non-MT injury 4.5%. Extension of FLS activities to include non-MT patients in 2022 would have cost an additional $198,326 AUD with a notional loss/saving of $ - 26,625/ + 26,913 AUD through refracture risk reduction. No clinically available characteristic at presentation predictive of increased refracture risk was identified.
Conclusion: The 3-year refracture after a non-MT injury is about half (57%) that of the refracture rate after a MT injury. Extending FLS activity to non-MT patients incurs a significant additional direct cost but remains cost neutral if notional savings gained through reduction in refracture risk are taken into account.
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