Quantification of Preexisting Lung Ground Glass Opacities on CT for Predicting Checkpoint Inhibitor Pneumonitis in Advanced Non-small Cell Lung Cancer Patients

Background: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) can lead to life-threatening pneumonitis, and pre-existing interstitial lung abnormalities (ILAs) are a risk factor for checkpoint inhibitor pneumonitis (CIP). However, the subjective assessment of ILA and the lack of standardized methods restrict its clinical utility as a predictive factor. This study aims to identify non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients at high risk of CIP using quantitative imaging.

Methods: This cohort study involved 206 cases in the training set and 111 cases in the validation set. It included locally advanced or metastatic NSCLC patients who underwent ICI therapy. A deep learning algorithm labeled the interstitial lesions and computed their volume. Two predictive models were developed to predict the probability of grade ≥ 2 CIP or severe CIP (grade ≥ 3). Cox proportional hazard models were employed to analyze predictors of progression-free survival (PFS).

Results: In a training cohort of 206 patients, 21.4% experienced CIP. Two models were developed to predict the probability of CIP based on different predictors. Model 1 utilized age, histology, and preexisting ground glass opacity (GGO) percentage of the whole lung to predict grade ≥ 2 CIP, while Model 2 used histology and GGO percentage in the right lower lung to predict grade ≥ 3 CIP. These models were validated, and their accuracy was assessed. In another exploratory analysis, the presence of GGOs involving more than one lobe on pretreatment CT scans was identified as a risk factor for progression-free survival.

Conclusions: The assessment of GGO volume and distribution on pre-treatment CT scans could assist in monitoring and manage the risk of CIP in NSCLC patients receiving ICI therapy.

Clinical Relevance Statement: This study's quantitative imaging and computational analysis can help identify NSCLC patients at high risk of CIP, allowing for better risk management and potentially improved outcomes in those receivingICI treatment.