Machine Learning Can Predict Anterior Elevation After Reverse Total Shoulder Arthroplasty: A New Tool for Daily Outpatient Clinic?

The aim of the present study was to individuate and compare specific machine learning algorithms that could predict postoperative anterior elevation score after reverse shoulder arthroplasty surgery at different time points. Data from 105 patients who underwent reverse shoulder arthroplasty at the same institute have been collected with the purpose of generating algorithms which could predict the target. Twenty-eight features were extracted and applied to two different machine learning techniques: Linear regression and support vector regression (SVR). These two techniques were also compared in order to define to most faithfully predictive. Using the extracted features, the SVR algorithm resulted in a mean absolute error (MAE) of 11.6° and a classification accuracy (PCC) of 0.88 on the test-set. Linear regression, instead, resulted in a MAE of 13.0° and a PCC of 0.85 on the test-set. Our machine learning study demonstrates that machine learning could provide high predictive algorithms for anterior elevation after reverse shoulder arthroplasty. The differential analysis between the utilized techniques showed higher accuracy in prediction for the support vector regression. Level of Evidence III: Retrospective cohort comparison; Computer Modeling.