Proteomic Aging Clock (PAC) Predicts Age-related Outcomes in Middle-aged and Older Adults

Beyond mere prognostication, optimal biomarkers of aging provide insights into qualitative and quantitative features of biological aging and might, therefore, offer useful information for the testing and, ultimately, clinical use of gerotherapeutics. We aimed to develop a proteomic aging clock (PAC) for all-cause mortality risk as a proxy of biological age. Data were from the UK Biobank Pharma Proteomics Project, including 53,021 participants aged between 39 and 70 years and 2,923 plasma proteins assessed using the Olink Explore 3072 assay. The Spearman correlation between PAC proteomic age and chronological age was 0.77. A total of 10.9% of the participants died during a mean follow-up of 13.3 years, with the mean age at death 70.1 years. We developed a proteomic aging clock (PAC) for all-cause mortality risk as a surrogate of BA using a combination of least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) penalized Cox regression and Gompertz proportional hazards models. PAC showed robust age-adjusted associations and predictions for all-cause mortality and the onset of various diseases in general and disease-free participants. The proteins associated with PAC were enriched in several processes related to the hallmarks of biological aging. Our results expand previous findings by showing that age acceleration, based on PAC, strongly predicts all-cause mortality and several incident disease outcomes. Particularly, it facilitates the evaluation of risk for multiple conditions in a disease-free population, thereby, contributing to the prevention of initial diseases, which vary among individuals and may subsequently lead to additional comorbidities.