Non-linear Association of Triglyceride-glucose Index with Prevalence of Prediabetes and Diabetes: a Cross-sectional Study

Background: The Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index has been acknowledged as a convenient, cost-effective, and relatively simple marker for insulin resistance (IR). Meanwhile, prediabetes, described as an asymptomatic, moderately hyperglycemic state, tends to be more prevalent than diabetes. Thus, the objective of this study was to explore the relationship between the TyG index and the prevalence of both prediabetes and diabetes within the U.S. population.

Methods: This study utilized a cross-sectional dataset derived from the National Health and Nutrition Survey (NHANES) spanning 1999 to 2018. The subjects were individuals aged 18 years and above, who had available fasting glucose and fasting triglyceride information, permitting a diagnosis of prediabetes or diabetes. The TyG index was computed using laboratory data, and participants were subsequently categorized into quartiles based on this information. The relationship between the TyG index and the prevalence of prediabetes and diabetes was investigated using logistic regression analysis.

Results: Out of the 25,159 participants, 23.88% were found to have prediabetes, while 16.22% were diagnosed with diabetes. After adjusting for confounding factors, a linear increase in relative odds was observed in Q2 (OR: 1.69; 95% CI: 1.52, 1.89), Q3 (OR: 2.57; 95% CI: 2.30, 2.88), and Q4 (OR: 4.88; 95% CI: 4.33, 5.49) groups in comparison to the reference group, Q1. In addition, a non-linear relationship was observed between the TyG index and the prevalence of prediabetes and diabetes. Specifically, patients with a TyG index greater than 8.00 overall exhibited a significantly higher risk of prediabetes and diabetes, confirming that an increase in the TyG index is associated with a corresponding increase in risk. However, this shift showed gender-specific variations; the threshold was observed at 8.00 in males but shifted to 9.00 in females.

Conclusion: The TyG index demonstrated a non-linear positive correlation with both prediabetes and diabetes. This suggests that maintaining the TyG index at a certain, reduced level could potentially aid in preventing the onset of prediabetes and diabetes.