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E-GLR Score Predicts Early Graft Loss in Adult Live-Donor Liver Transplantation

Overview
Journal Ann Surg Open
Publisher Wolters Kluwer
Specialty General Surgery
Date 2023 Dec 25
PMID 38144498
Authors
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Abstract

Objective: This study aimed to analyze risk factors and develop a predictive model for early allograft loss due to early graft dysfunction (EGD) in adult live-donor liver transplantation (LDLT).

Methods: Data of patients who underwent LDLT from 2011 to 2019 were reviewed for EGD, associated factors, and outcomes. A homogeneous group of 387 patients was analyzed: random cohort A (n = 274) for primary analysis and random cohort B (n = 113) for validation.

Results: Of 274 recipients, 92 (33.6%) developed EGD. The risk of graft loss within 90 days was 29.3% and 7.1% in those with and without EGD, respectively ( < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis determined donor age ( 0.045), estimated (e) graft weight ( 0.001), and the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score (0.001) as independent predictors of early graft loss due to EGD. Regression coefficients of these factors were employed to formulate the risk model: Predicted (P) early graft loss risk (e-GLR) score = 10 × [(donor age × 0.052) + (e-Graft weight × 1.681) + (MELD × 0.145)] - 8.606 (e-Graft weight = 0, if e-Graft weight ≥640 g and e-Graft weight = 1, and if e-Graft weight < 640 g). Internal cross-validation revealed a high predictive value (C-statistic = 0.858).

Conclusions: Our novel risk score can efficiently predict early allograft loss following graft dysfunction, which enables donor-recipient matching, evaluation, and prognostication simply and reliably in adult LDLT.

Citing Articles

Perspectives and Tools in Liver Graft Assessment: A Transformative Era in Liver Transplantation.

Safi K, Pawlicka A, Pradhan B, Sobieraj J, Zhylko A, Struga M Biomedicines. 2025; 13(2).

PMID: 40002907 PMC: 11852418. DOI: 10.3390/biomedicines13020494.

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