Quantitative Edge Analysis of Pancreatic Margins in Patients with Head Pancreatic Tumors: Correlations Between Pancreatic Margins and the Onset of Postoperative Pancreatic Fistula

Objective: To assess the correlation between pancreatic quantitative edge analysis as a surrogate of parenchymal stiffness and the incidence of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF), in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD).

Methods: All consecutive patients who underwent PD at our Institution between March 2018 and November 2019 with an available preoperative CT were included. Pancreatic margin score (PMS) was calculated through computer-assisted quantitative edge analysis on the margins of the pancreatic body and tail (the expected pancreatic remnant) on non-contrast scans with in-house software. Intraoperative assessment of pancreatic stiffness by manual palpation was also performed, classifying pancreatic texture into soft and non-soft. PMS values were compared between groups using an unpaired T-test and correlated with the intraoperative evaluation of stiffness and with the grading of postoperative pancreatic fistula according to the International Study Group on Pancreatic Surgery (ISGPS).

Results: Patient population included 200 patients (mean age 64.6 years), 146 without onset of POPF (73%, non-POPF group), and 54 with POPF (27%, POPF group). A significant difference in PMS values was observed between POPF and non-POPF (respectively 1.88 ± 0.05 vs 0.69 ± 0.01; p < 0.0001). PMS values of pancreatic parenchymas intraoperatively considered "soft" were significantly higher than those evaluated as "non-soft" (1.21 ± 0.04 vs 0.73 ± 0.02; p < 0.0001). A significant correlation between PMS values and POPF grade was observed (r = 0.8316), even in subgroups of patients with soft (r = 0.8016) and non-soft (r = 0.7602) pancreas (all p < 0.0001).

Conclusions: Quantitative edge analysis with dedicated software may stratify patients with different pancreatic stiffness, thus potentially improving preoperative risk assessment and strategies for POPF mitigation.

Clinical Relevance Statement: This study proposes quantitative pancreas edge analysis as a predictor for postoperative pancreatic fistula. The test has high accuracy and correlation with fistula grade according to the International Study Group on Pancreatic Surgery.

Key Points: • Prediction of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) onset risk after pancreaticoduodenectomy is based only on intraoperative evaluation. • Quantitative edge analysis may preoperatively identify patients with higher risk of POPF. • Quantification of pancreatic stiffness through the analysis of pancreatic margins could be done on preoperative CT.