» Articles » PMID: 37583927

Decision-support Tools to Build Climate Resilience Against Emerging Infectious Diseases in Europe and Beyond

Abstract

Climate change is one of several drivers of recurrent outbreaks and geographical range expansion of infectious diseases in Europe. We propose a framework for the co-production of policy-relevant indicators and decision-support tools that track past, present, and future climate-induced disease risks across hazard, exposure, and vulnerability domains at the animal, human, and environmental interface. This entails the co-development of early warning and response systems and tools to assess the costs and benefits of climate change adaptation and mitigation measures across sectors, to increase health system resilience at regional and local levels and reveal novel policy entry points and opportunities. Our approach involves multi-level engagement, innovative methodologies, and novel data streams. We take advantage of intelligence generated locally and empirically to quantify effects in areas experiencing rapid urban transformation and heterogeneous climate-induced disease threats. Our goal is to reduce the knowledge-to-action gap by developing an integrated One Health-Climate Risk framework.

Citing Articles

 Increasing the resolution of malaria early warning systems for use by local health actors.

Evans M, Ihantamalala F, Randriamihaja M, Herbreteau V, Revillion C, Catry T Malar J. 2025; 24(1):30.

PMID: 39885540 PMC: 11780933. DOI: 10.1186/s12936-025-05266-0.


Effects of mosquito-proofing storm drains on adult and larvae mosquito abundance: Protocol of the IDAlErt storm drAin randomiSed controlled trial (IDEAS).

Treskova M, Montalvo T, Rocklov J, Hatfield C, Bartumeus F, Dasgupta S MethodsX. 2025; 14():103102.

PMID: 39850761 PMC: 11755014. DOI: 10.1016/j.mex.2024.103102.


Present and future suitability of invasive and urban vectors through an environmentally driven mosquito reproduction number.

Pardo-Araujo M, Eritja R, Alonso D, Bartumeus F Proc Biol Sci. 2024; 291(2034):20241960.

PMID: 39500373 PMC: 11537753. DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2024.1960.


Assessing and correcting neighborhood socioeconomic spatial sampling biases in citizen science mosquito data collection.

Padilla-Pozo A, Bartumeus F, Montalvo T, Sanpera-Calbet I, Valsecchi A, Palmer J Sci Rep. 2024; 14(1):22462.

PMID: 39341898 PMC: 11439082. DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-73416-6.


A climatic suitability indicator to support surveillance in Europe: a modelling study.

Carvalho B, Maia C, Courtenay O, Llabres-Brustenga A, Lotto Batista M, Moirano G Lancet Reg Health Eur. 2024; 43:100971.

PMID: 39040529 PMC: 11261136. DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.100971.


References
1.
Bourgois P, Holmes S, Sue K, Quesada J . Structural Vulnerability: Operationalizing the Concept to Address Health Disparities in Clinical Care. Acad Med. 2016; 92(3):299-307. PMC: 5233668. DOI: 10.1097/ACM.0000000000001294. View

2.
Semenza J, Paz S . Climate change and infectious disease in Europe: Impact, projection and adaptation. Lancet Reg Health Eur. 2021; 9:100230. PMC: 8513157. DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2021.100230. View

3.
Liu-Helmersson J, Rocklov J, Sewe M, Brannstrom A . Climate change may enable Aedes aegypti infestation in major European cities by 2100. Environ Res. 2019; 172:693-699. DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2019.02.026. View

4.
Eritja R, Ruiz-Arrondo I, Delacour-Estrella S, Schaffner F, Alvarez-Chachero J, Bengoa M . First detection of Aedes japonicus in Spain: an unexpected finding triggered by citizen science. Parasit Vectors. 2019; 12(1):53. PMC: 6344982. DOI: 10.1186/s13071-019-3317-y. View

5.
Tompkins A, Colon-Gonzalez F, Di Giuseppe F, Namanya D . Dynamical Malaria Forecasts Are Skillful at Regional and Local Scales in Uganda up to 4 Months Ahead. Geohealth. 2020; 3(3):58-66. PMC: 7038892. DOI: 10.1029/2018GH000157. View