Establishment of a Novel Signature to Predict Prognosis and Immune Characteristics of Pancreatic Cancer Based on Necroptosis-related Long Non-coding RNA

Background: Necroptosis plays an important role in tumorigenesis and tumour progression. Long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) have been proven to be regulatory factors of necroptosis in various tumours. However, the real role of necroptosis-related lncRNAs (NRLs) and their potential to predict the prognosis of pancreatic cancer (PC) remain largely unclear. The goal of this study was to identify NRLs and create a predictive risk signature in PC, explore its prognostic predictive performance, and further assess immunotherapy and chemotherapy responses.

Methods: RNA sequencing data, tumour mutation burden (TMB) data, and clinical profiles of 178 PC patients were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. NRLs were identified using Pearson correlation analysis. Then, patients were divided into the training set and the validation set at a 1:1 ratio. Subsequently, Cox and LASSO regression analyses were conducted to establish a prognostic NRL signature in the training set and validation set. The predictive efficacy of the 5-NRL signature was assessed by survival analysis, nomogram, Cox regression, clinicopathological feature correlation analysis, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Furthermore, correlations between the risk score (RS) and immune cell infiltration, immune checkpoint molecules, somatic gene mutations, and anticancer drug sensitivity were analysed. Finally, we used quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) to validate the 5-NRLs.

Results: A 5-NRL signature was established to predict the prognosis of PC, including LINC00857, AL672291.1, PTPRN2-AS1, AC141930.2, and MEG9. The 5-NRL signature demonstrated a high degree of predictive power according to ROC and Kaplan‒Meier curves and was revealed to be an independent prognostic risk factor via stratified survival analysis. Nomogram and calibration curves indicated the clinical adaptability of the signature. Immune-related pathways were linked to the 5-NRL signature according to enrichment analysis. Additionally, immune cell infiltration, immune checkpoint molecules, somatic gene mutations and the half-maximal inhibitory concentration (IC50) of chemotherapeutic agents were significantly different between the two risk subgroups. These results suggested that our model can be used to evaluate the effectiveness of immunotherapy and chemotherapy, providing a potential new strategy for treating PC.

Conclusions: The novel 5-NRL signature is helpful for assessing the prognosis of PC patients and improving therapy options, so it can be further applied clinically.