Traumatic Brain Injury Mortality and Correlates in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Meta-Epidemiological Study

Background: It is estimated that up to 69 million people per year experience traumatic brain injury (TBI) with the highest prevalence found in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). A paucity of data suggests that the mortality rate after severe TBI is twice as high in LMICs than in high-income countries.

Objective: To analyze TBI mortality in LMICs and to evaluate what country-based socioeconomic and demographic parameters influence TBI outcomes.

Methods: Four databases were searched for the period January 1, 2002, to January 1, 2022, for studies describing TBI outcomes in LMICs. Multivariable analysis was performed using multivariable linear regression, with the outcome as the pooled mortality by country and the covariates as the adjusted parameters.

Results: Our search yielded 14 376 records of which 101 were included in the final analysis, totaling 59 197 patients and representing 31 LMICs. The pooled TBI-related mortality was 16.7% (95% CI: 13.7%-20.3%) without significant differences comparing pediatrics vs adults. Pooled severe TBI-related mortality was significantly higher than mild. Multivariable analysis showed a significant association between TBI-related mortality and median income ( P = .04), population percentage below poverty line ( P = .02), primary school enrollment ( P = .01), and poverty head ratio ( P = .04).

Conclusion: TBI-related mortality in LMICs is 3-fold to 4-fold higher than that reported in high-income countries. Within LMICs, parameters associated with poorer outcomes after TBI include factors recognized as social determinants of health. Addressing social determinants of health in LMICs might expedite the quest to close the care delivery gap after TBI.