The Japanese 5-5-500 Rule Predicts Prognosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Hepatic Resection

Background: The 5-5-500 rule has been proposed to increase the candidates of liver transplantation for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma with reasonable recurrence rates. However, the clinical significance of the 5-5-500 rule in patients who underwent hepatic resection for hepatocellular carcinoma has not been fully investigated.

Patients And Methods: The study comprised 206 patients who had undergone primary hepatic resection for hepatocellular carcinoma between 2008 and 2018. We retrospectively investigated prognostic significance of the 5-5-500 rule and disease-free, as well as overall, survival and further prognostic stratification using inflammatory-based biomarkers.

Results: 132 patients (64%) were classified within the 5-5-500 rule, while 74 patients (36%) were classified outside the 5-5-500 rule. Among the patients outside the 5-5-500 rule, 62 patients had tumors greater than 5 cm, and 23 patients showed serum AFP levels greater than 500 ng/ml. In the multivariate analysis, being female (p<0.01), HBs-Ag positive (p<0.01), having an ICG ≥15% (p=0.03), and being outside the 5-5-500 rule (p=0.01) were independent and significant predictors of disease-free survival, while being HBs-Ag positive (p=0.04), having poor tumor differentiation (p=0.03), and residing outside the 5-5-500 rule (p=0.01) were independent and negative predictors of overall survival. Elevated CRP-to-albumin ratio was associated with poor overall survival in the patients outside the 5-5-500 rule, but not in patients within the 5-5-500 rule (p=0.17).

Conclusion: The 5-5-500 rule can be a prognostic factor in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatic resection. CRP-to-albumin ratio might be useful to stratify the outcomes in patients outside the 5-5-500 rule.