Fusion Gene Detection in Prostate Cancer Samples Enhances the Prediction of Prostate Cancer Clinical Outcomes from Radical Prostatectomy Through Machine Learning in a Multi-Institutional Analysis

Prostate cancer remains one of the most fatal malignancies in men in the United States. Predicting the course of prostate cancer is challenging given that only a fraction of prostate cancer patients experience cancer recurrence after radical prostatectomy or radiation therapy. This study examined the expressions of 14 fusion genes in 607 prostate cancer samples from the University of Pittsburgh, Stanford University, and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. The profiling of 14 fusion genes was integrated with Gleason score of the primary prostate cancer and serum prostate-specific antigen level to develop machine-learning models to predict the recurrence of prostate cancer after radical prostatectomy. Machine-learning algorithms were developed by analysis of the data from the University of Pittsburgh cohort as a training set using the leave-one-out cross-validation method. These algorithms were then applied to the data set from the combined Stanford/Wisconsin cohort (testing set). The results showed that the addition of fusion gene profiling consistently improved the prediction accuracy rate of prostate cancer recurrence by Gleason score, serum prostate-specific antigen level, or a combination of both. These improvements occurred in both the training and testing cohorts and were corroborated by multiple models.