Which Preoperative Immunonutritional Index Best Predicts Postoperative Mortality After Palliative Surgery for Malignant Bowel Obstruction in Patients with Late-stage Cancer? A Single-center Study in Japan Comparing the Modified Glasgow Prognostic...

Purpose: To compare the utility of preoperative immunonutritional parameter measures for predicting postoperative mortality following palliative surgery (PS) for malignant bowel obstruction (MBO) in patients with late-stage cancer.

Methods: The subjects of this retrospective study were 83 late-stage cancer patients with MBO who underwent PS between January, 2005 and December, 2018, at a single institution in Japan. We compared the modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS), the prognostic nutritional index (PNI), and the controlling nutritional status (CONUT) for predicting postoperative mortality following PS in these patients.

Results: The most prevalent cancer in the patients who underwent PS was colorectal cancer (54.2%), followed by gastric cancer (24.1%). Postoperative complications of Clavien-Dindo classification grade ≥ 2 developed in 32 (38.6%) patients and stoma-related complications developed in 26 (31.3%) patients. There were 15 (18.1%) patients with 60-day mortality, 22 (26.5%) with 90-day mortality, and 4 (4.8%) with 30-day mortality. Multivariable analysis identified only mGPS as being associated with 60-day mortality (odds ratio, 9.387; 95% confidence interval, 0.001-4.478; p = 0.049). The overall survival of patients with a mGPS score of 2 was significantly worse than that of those with a mGPS score of < 2 (p = 0.013).

Conclusions: These results suggest that the mGPS is a good predictor not only of 60-day mortality, but also of the overall survival of patients with late-stage cancer and MBO.