Quantitative Computed Tomography Parameters in Coronavirus Disease 2019 Patients and Prediction of Respiratory Outcomes Using a Decision Tree

Background: Chest computed tomography (CT) scans play an important role in the diagnosis of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). This study aimed to describe the quantitative CT parameters in COVID-19 patients according to disease severity and build decision trees for predicting respiratory outcomes using the quantitative CT parameters.

Methods: Patients hospitalized for COVID-19 were classified based on the level of disease severity: (1) no pneumonia or hypoxia, (2) pneumonia without hypoxia, (3) hypoxia without respiratory failure, and (4) respiratory failure. High attenuation area (HAA) was defined as the quantified percentage of imaged lung volume with attenuation values between -600 and -250 Hounsfield units (HU). Decision tree models were built with clinical variables and initial laboratory values (model 1) and including quantitative CT parameters in addition to them (model 2).

Results: A total of 387 patients were analyzed. The mean age was 57.8 years, and 50.3% were women. HAA increased as the severity of respiratory outcome increased. HAA showed a moderate correlation with lactate dehydrogenases (LDH) and C-reactive protein (CRP). In the decision tree of model 1, the CRP, fibrinogen, LDH, and gene Ct value were chosen as classifiers whereas LDH, HAA, fibrinogen, vaccination status, and neutrophil (%) were chosen in model 2. For predicting respiratory failure, the decision tree built with quantitative CT parameters showed a greater accuracy than the model without CT parameters.

Conclusions: The decision tree could provide higher accuracy for predicting respiratory failure when quantitative CT parameters were considered in addition to clinical characteristics, PCR Ct value, and blood biomarkers.