Exploring a Suitable Marker of Glycemic Response to Dulaglutide in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes: A Retrospective Study

Introduction: Previous studies suggested that β-cell function markers such as fasting and postprandial serum C-peptide and C-peptide increment (FCPR, PCPR, and ΔCPR, respectively) may be useful in estimating glycemic response to glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists. However, it remains elusive whether baseline glycemic control confounds these markers. Here we aimed to identify the least confounded β-cell function markers and investigate whether these markers could predict glycemic response to dulaglutide.

Methods: We evaluated FCPR, PCPR, and ΔCPR levels in patients with type 2 diabetes who initiated dulaglutide treatment after a standardized meal tolerance test (MTT). We first investigated the confounding effects of baseline HbA1c on β-cell function markers using Pearson's correlation test. Then, we evaluated the association between each β-cell function marker and glycemic response (HbA1c change 0-6 months) to dulaglutide using generalized linear model and logistic regression analysis with adjustment for baseline HbA1c.

Results: In 141 patients, baseline HbA1c was significantly inversely correlated with PCPR and ΔCPR (P < 0.01 for both) but not with FCPR (r = 0.02; P = 0.853), suggesting that FCPR was the marker least confounded by baseline glycemic control. Of all patients, 59 continued dulaglutide for at least 6 months without initiating any additional glucose-lowering medications. Mean ± SE HbA1c change 0-6 months was - 1.16 ± 0.17% (P < 0.001 vs. baseline). The β-cell function markers were significantly associated with HbA1c change 0-6 months in the generalized linear model. FCPR was also a significant predictor for achieving a reduction in HbA1c of at least 1% (P = 0.044) with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.83 (sensitivity = 0.81 and specificity = 0.79).

Conclusion: Fasting and meal-induced C-peptide levels are associated with glycemic response to dulaglutide, among which FCPR is least confounded by baseline glycemic control, suggesting its utility as a marker for glycemic response to dulaglutide.