The Relationship Between Deprivation and Frailty Trajectories over 1 year and at the End of Life: a Case-control Study

Background: We investigated the association between area-level, multi-domain deprivation and frailty trajectories in the last year of life and over 1 year in a matched non-end-of-life sample.

Methods: A 1-year longitudinal case-control study using primary care electronic health records from 20 460 people age ≥ 75. Cases (died 1 January 2015 to 1 January 2016) were 1:1 matched to controls by age, sex and practice location. Monthly interval frailty measured using a 36-item electronic frailty index (eFI: range 0-1, lower scores mean less frailty). Deprivation measured using Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) quintiles. We used latent growth curves to model the relationship between IMD and eFI trajectory.

Results: Living in a less deprived area was associated with faster increase in eFI for cases (0.005% per month, 95%confidence interval [CI]: 0.001, 0.010), but not controls, and was associated with lower eFI at study baseline in cases (-0.29% per IMD quintile, 95%CI -0.45, -0.13) and controls (-0.35% per quintile, 95%CI -0.51, -0.20).

Conclusions: Overall, greater area-level deprivation is associated with higher levels of frailty, but people who survive to ≥75 have similar 1-year frailty trajectories, regardless of area-level deprivation. Interventions to reduce frailty should target younger age groups, especially those living in the most deprived areas.