Spatial Patterns of Immune Status and Spp. Load Implicate Environmental Quality and History As Modulators of Defense Strategies and Wasting Disease in Florida Bay, United States

Seagrass wasting disease, caused by protists of the genus , is an important stressor of the dominant macrophyte in Florida Bay (FB), United States, . FB exhibits countervailing gradients in plant morphology and resource availability. A synoptic picture of the relationship was obtained by assessing the activity of four immune biomarkers in conjunction with pathogen prevalence and load [ quantitative PCR (qPCR)] at 15 sites across FB. We found downregulated immune status paired with moderate pathogen load among larger-bodied host phenotypes in western FB and upregulated immunity for smaller-bodied phenotypes in eastern FB. Among the highest immune response sites, a distinct inshore-offshore loading pattern was observed, where coastal basins exposed to freshwater runoff and riverine inputs had the highest pathogen loads, while adjacent offshore locations had the lowest. To explain this, we propose a simple, conceptual model that defines a framework for testable hypotheses based on recent advances in resistance-tolerance theory. We suggest that resource availability has the potential to drive not only plant size, but also tolerance to pathogen load by reducing investment in immunity. Where resources are more scarce, plants may adopt a resistance strategy, upregulating immunity; however, when physiologically challenged, this strategy appears to fail, resulting in high pathogen load. While evidence remains correlative, we argue that hyposalinity stress, at one or more temporal scales, may represent one of many potential drivers of disease dynamics in FB. Together, these data highlight the complexity of the wasting disease pathosystem and raise questions about how climate change and ongoing Everglades restoration might impact this foundational seagrass species.