Predictors of Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Persistence After Treatment of High Grade Cervical Lesions; Does Cervical Cytology Have Any Prognostic Value in Primary HPV Screening?

Objective: This study aimed to determine the factors associated with Human Papillomavirus (HPV) persistence in women undergoing cervical excision for pre-invasive lesions, after they have been referred from a primary HPV screening program.

Methods: A retrospective study design involving patients who were treated at a Cervical Disease Screening and Treatment Unit, in a university hospital setting. After initial treatment, cervical HPV infection status was analyzed at the sixth month, first year and then subsequently after the second year.

Results: Totally, 395 patients who were diagnosed with pre-invasive cervical lesions and who subsequently undergone cervical excision were identified. In the first-year visit after cervical excision, HPV 18 was cleared in almost all (95.8%) cases, followed by HPV 16 (69.9%) and other hrHPV types (65.6%). Available data documented that 88.6% of women reached clearance after the two-year follow-up. Univariate analysis revealed a significantly higher proportion of HPV clearance among women who were younger (p = 0.019), premenopausal (p = 0.002), and who had been found to have a negative cytology result on their initial Pap test (p = 0.018). However, only cervical cytology result remained as the independent predictor of HPV persistence on a multivariate logistic regression (OR 0.43; 95% CI 0.21-0.87; p = 0.019).

Conclusions: A low risk of HPV persistence was found among every HPV genotype in women undergoing cervical excision for pre-invasive cervical lesions. Initial cervical cytology result was the only independent predictor of HPV clearance during surveillance, which indicates the prognostic value of Pap test in primary HPV screening.