Visual Enhancement Pattern During the Delayed Phase of Enhanced CT As an Independent Prognostic Factor in Stage IV Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

Background: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has substantial heterogeneity in biophysical features and in outcomes of patients. Identifying reliable pretreatment imaging biomarkers for PDAC with distant metastases (stage IV) is a key imperative. Our objective was to determine whether visual tumor enhancement pattern on enhanced computed tomography (CT) can be used as a prognostic factor in stage IV PDAC treated with chemotherapy.

Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study of 133 patients with stage IV PDAC who underwent multiphasic enhanced CT before systemic chemotherapy. The enhancement pattern of PDAC was qualitatively categorized as hypoattenuation, isoattenuation, or hyperattenuation on each of the pancreatic, portal venous, and delayed phases. The effects of clinical prognostic factors and the visual tumor enhancement pattern on progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed in univariate and multivariate analyses using Cox proportional hazards models.

Results: On univariate analysis, the number of metastatic organs and the visual tumor enhancement pattern during the delayed phase were significantly associated with PFS (p = 0.003 and < 0.001, respectively) and OS (p = 0.005 and < 0.001, respectively). Multivariate analysis identified the number of metastatic organs (PFS, p = 0.021; OS, p = 0.041) and visual tumor enhancement pattern during the delayed phase (PFS, p < 0.001; OS, p < 0.001) as independent predictors of PFS and OS.

Conclusion: Visual enhancement pattern of PDAC on delayed phase enhanced CT appears to be associated with outcomes and could be a useful prognostic factor in stage IV PDAC, despite the need to add the delayed phase to CT protocol for pancreatic disease.