Sampling and Summarizing Transmission Trees with Multi-strain Infections
Overview
Authors
Affiliations
Motivation: The combination of genomic and epidemiological data holds the potential to enable accurate pathogen transmission history inference. However, the inference of outbreak transmission histories remains challenging due to various factors such as within-host pathogen diversity and multi-strain infections. Current computational methods ignore within-host diversity and/or multi-strain infections, often failing to accurately infer the transmission history. Thus, there is a need for efficient computational methods for transmission tree inference that accommodate the complexities of real data.
Results: We formulate the direct transmission inference (DTI) problem for inferring transmission trees that support multi-strain infections given a timed phylogeny and additional epidemiological data. We establish hardness for the decision and counting version of the DTI problem. We introduce Transmission Tree Uniform Sampler (TiTUS), a method that uses SATISFIABILITY to almost uniformly sample from the space of transmission trees. We introduce criteria that prioritize parsimonious transmission trees that we subsequently summarize using a novel consensus tree approach. We demonstrate TiTUS's ability to accurately reconstruct transmission trees on simulated data as well as a documented HIV transmission chain.
Availability And Implementation: https://github.com/elkebir-group/TiTUS.
Supplementary Information: Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.
The tree labeling polytope: a unified approach to ancestral reconstruction problems.
Schmidt H, Raphael B bioRxiv. 2025; .
PMID: 40027631 PMC: 11870558. DOI: 10.1101/2025.02.14.638328.
Hackman J, Hibberd M, Swarthout T, Hinds J, Ashall J, Sheppard C Microbiol Spectr. 2024; :e0364323.
PMID: 39499074 PMC: 11619295. DOI: 10.1128/spectrum.03643-23.
Joint inference of cell lineage and mitochondrial evolution from single-cell sequencing data.
Sashittal P, Chen V, Pasarkar A, Raphael B Bioinformatics. 2024; 40(Suppl 1):i218-i227.
PMID: 38940122 PMC: 11211840. DOI: 10.1093/bioinformatics/btae231.
Carson J, Keeling M, Wyllie D, Ribeca P, Didelot X Mol Biol Evol. 2024; 41(1).
PMID: 38168711 PMC: 10798190. DOI: 10.1093/molbev/msad288.
Skums P, Mohebbi F, Tsyvina V, Baykal P, Nemira A, Ramachandran S Cell Syst. 2022; 13(10):844-856.e4.
PMID: 36265470 PMC: 9590096. DOI: 10.1016/j.cels.2022.07.005.