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COVID-19 in Italy: Impact of Containment Measures and Prevalence Estimates of Infection in the General Population

Overview
Journal Acta Biomed
Specialty General Medicine
Date 2020 Apr 11
PMID 32275287
Citations 131
Authors
Carlo Signorelli
Thea Scognamiglio
Anna Odone
Affiliations
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Abstract

Since the beginning of the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy, the Italian Government implemented several restrictive measures to contain the spread of the infection. Data shows that, among these measures, the lockdown implemented as of 9 March had a positive impact, in particular  the central and southern regions of Italy, while other actions appeared to be less effective. When the true prevalence of a disease is unknown, it is possible estimate it, based on mortality data and the assumptive case-fatality rate of the disease. Given these assumptions, the estimated period-prevalence of COVID-19 in Italy varies from 0.35% in Sicity to 13.3% in Lombardy.

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