» Articles » PMID: 32184495

Deliberating Trade-offs with the Future

Overview
Journal Nat Hum Behav
Date 2020 Mar 19
PMID 32184495
Citations 19
Authors
Affiliations
Soon will be listed here.
Abstract

Many fundamental choices in life are intertemporal: they involve trade-offs between sooner and later outcomes. In recent years there has been a surge of interest into how people make intertemporal decisions, given that such decisions are ubiquitous in everyday life and central in domains from substance use to climate change action. While it is clear that people make decisions according to rules, intuitions and habits, they also commonly deliberate over their options, thinking through potential outcomes and reflecting on their own preferences. In this Perspective, we bring to bear recent research into the higher-order capacities that underpin deliberation-particularly those that enable people to think about the future (prospection) and their own thinking (metacognition)-to shed light on intertemporal decision-making. We show how a greater appreciation for these mechanisms of deliberation promises to advance our understanding of intertemporal decision-making and unify a wide range of otherwise disparate choice phenomena.

Citing Articles

Navigating Uncertainty: The Role of Mood and Confidence in Decision-Making Flexibility and Performance.

Lavin C, Garcia R, Fuentes M Behav Sci (Basel). 2025; 14(12.

PMID: 39767285 PMC: 11673058. DOI: 10.3390/bs14121144.


How can restaurants entice patrons to order environmentally sustainable dishes? Testing new approaches based on hedonic psychology and affective forecasting theory.

Fechner D, Karl M, Grun B, Dolnicar S J Sustain Tour. 2024; 32(10):2225-2244.

PMID: 39372039 PMC: 11451025. DOI: 10.1080/09669582.2023.2274283.


The recursive grammar of mental time travel.

Redshaw J Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2024; 379(1913):20230412.

PMID: 39278240 PMC: 11606512. DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2023.0412.


Perceived Social Support and Health-Related Quality of Life Among Hypertensive Patients: A Latent Profile Analysis and the Role of Delay Discounting and Living Alone.

Ding Y, Zhang H, Hu Z, Sun Y, Wang Y, Ding B Risk Manag Healthc Policy. 2024; 17:2125-2139.

PMID: 39246592 PMC: 11380862. DOI: 10.2147/RMHP.S476633.


Dynamic inconsistency in great apes.

Salas-Morellon L, Palacios-Huerta I, Call J Sci Rep. 2024; 14(1):18130.

PMID: 39103396 PMC: 11300655. DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-67771-7.


References
1.
Sanchez-Roige S, Fontanillas P, Elson S, Pandit A, Schmidt E, Foerster J . Genome-wide association study of delay discounting in 23,217 adult research participants of European ancestry. Nat Neurosci. 2017; 21(1):16-18. PMC: 6984001. DOI: 10.1038/s41593-017-0032-x. View

2.
McGuire J, Kable J . Rational temporal predictions can underlie apparent failures to delay gratification. Psychol Rev. 2013; 120(2):395-410. PMC: 3773987. DOI: 10.1037/a0031910. View

3.
Botvinick M, Ritter S, Wang J, Kurth-Nelson Z, Blundell C, Hassabis D . Reinforcement Learning, Fast and Slow. Trends Cogn Sci. 2019; 23(5):408-422. DOI: 10.1016/j.tics.2019.02.006. View

4.
Schacter D, Addis D . The cognitive neuroscience of constructive memory: remembering the past and imagining the future. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2007; 362(1481):773-86. PMC: 2429996. DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2007.2087. View

5.
Amasino D, Sullivan N, Kranton R, Huettel S . Amount and time exert independent influences on intertemporal choice. Nat Hum Behav. 2019; 3(4):383-392. PMC: 8020819. DOI: 10.1038/s41562-019-0537-2. View