Risk of Malignancy in the Various Categories of the UK Royal College of Pathologists Thy Terminology for Thyroid FNA Cytology: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Background: The UK Royal College of Pathologists Thy terminology for reporting thyroid fine-needle aspiration cytology (FNAC), first published in 2009 is used throughout the United Kingdom and Ireland, in some parts of Italy and Switzerland and elsewhere. There is no review of the literature or meta-analysis of the risk of malignancy (ROM) in the various categories of the UK Thy terminology. The goal of this study was to establish the published ROM for each Thy category and compare the results with other existing terminology systems for which similar meta-analyses are available.

Methods: A comprehensive literature search of online databases was conducted in May 2019 to examine the ROMs for histologically proven nodules with preoperative FNAC classified according to the UK Thy terminology.

Results: Twenty-five articles were identified that showed results of both cytology and histology. Twelve of these articles were excluded to prevent a selection bias because they showed data in just 1 Thy category. In the remaining 13 articles, the pooled ROMs were as follows: Thy1, 12% (95% confidence interval [CI], 5%-22%); Thy2, 5% (95% CI, 3%-9%); Thy3, 22% (95% CI, 18%-26%); Thy3a, 25% (95% CI, 20%-31%); Thy3f, 31% (95% CI, 24%-39%); Thy4, 79% (95% CI, 70%-87%); and Thy5, 98% (95% CI, 97%-99%).

Conclusions: This meta-analysis shows results comparable to those of meta-analyses of other internationally recognized reporting terminologies for the pooled ROMs for surgically excised nodules in the various Thy reporting categories. There is comparatively little difference (only 6%) between the pooled ROMs of Thy3a and Thy3f surgically excised nodules.