Diagnostic Accuracy of Procalcitonin for the Early Diagnosis of Anastomotic Leakage After Colorectal Surgery: a Meta-analysis

Background: Anastomotic leakage (AL) is a dreaded complication following colorectal surgery. Procalcitonin is one of many biomarkers studied and research has suggested that it has improved accuracy for the diagnosis of AL compared with other inflammatory biomarkers such as C-reactive protein. This meta-analysis was conducted to evaluate the accuracy of procalcitonin in the early diagnosis of AL following colorectal surgery.

Methods: MEDLINE, Embase and PubMed were searched for studies evaluating procalcitonin in the context of AL following colorectal surgery in the elective setting. The literature was reviewed using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) statement. Quality of the studies was assessed using the Quality Assessment Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS)-2 tool. Meta analyses were conducted using area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for day 3, 4 and 5 post-surgery as a diagnostic test to detect AL.

Results: A total of eight studies were analysed. Results showed that the highest diagnostic accuracy for procalcitonin is on day 5 post surgery. The reported optimal cut-off values ranged from 0.25 to 680 ng/mL from postoperative day 3 to 5, with reported negative predictive values ranging from 95% to 100%, and positive predictive values of up to 34%. The highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.88 on postoperative day 5.

Conclusion: Procalcitonin is a useful negative test for AL following elective colorectal surgery. However, as an isolated test, it is not useful in detecting AL.