Combined Effect of Hepatic Venous Pressure Gradient and Liver Stiffness on Long-term Mortality in Patients with Cirrhosis

Background/aims: Both hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) and liver stiffness (LS) are useful tools for predicting mortality in patients with cirrhosis. We investigated the combined effect of HVPG and LS on long-term mortality in patients with cirrhosis.

Methods: We retrospectively collected data from 103 patients with cirrhosis, whose HVPG and LS were measured between November 2009 and September 2013. The patients were divided into four groups according to the results of the HVPG and LS measurements. Long-term mortality and the risk factors for mortality were analyzed.

Results: Of the 103 patients, 35 were in group 1 (low HVPG and low LS), 16 in group 2 (high HVPG and low LS), 24 in group 3 (low HVPG and high LS), and 28 in group 4 (high HVPG and high LS). Over a median follow-up of 47.3 months, 18 patients died. The mortality rate of patients in group 4 was significantly higher than in the other three groups (vs. group 1, p = 0.005; vs. group 2, p = 0.049; vs. group 3, p = 0.004), but there were no significant differences in survival between groups 1, 2, and 3. In multivariable analyses, both HVPG and LS were identified as independent risk factors for mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.127, p = 0.018; and HR, 1.062, p = 0.009, respectively).

Conclusion: In patients with cirrhosis, those with concurrent elevation of HVPG and LS had the highest long-term mortality rates. However, when either HVPG or LS alone was elevated, mortality did not increase significantly.