Predictors of Long-Term Remission and Relapse of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Following Gastric Bypass in Severely Obese Patients

Background: Diabetes remission is not observed in all obese patients with type 2 diabetes submitted to bariatric surgery. Relapses occur in patients in whom remission is achieved. We investigated the factors associated with long-term (≥3 years) remission and relapse of type 2 diabetes after Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) in these patients.

Methods: By a retrospective review, we analyzed data from 254 patients with type 2 diabetes who had undergone RYGB from May 2000 to November 2011 and had at least 3 years of follow-up. The criteria for remission and relapse of type 2 diabetes followed the current American Diabetes Association recommendations.

Results: Remission was achieved in almost 82% of participants (69.7% complete, and 12.2% partial remission). Of these, 12% relapsed within a mean follow-up of 5.1 ± 2.0 years after surgery. Predictors of complete remission were younger age, better preoperative glycemic control, and shorter diabetes duration. Preoperative insulin use was associated with a ninefold increase in the relapse hazard (HR = 9.1 (95% CI: 3.3-25.4)). Use of two or more oral anti-diabetic agents increased the relapse hazard sixfold (HR = 6.1 (95% CI: 1.8-20.6)). Eighteen point one percent of patients did not achieve any remission during follow-up. However, they exhibited significant improvements in glycemic control.

Conclusions: These data indicate that RYGB should not be delayed when remission of type 2 diabetes is a therapeutic goal, and also suggest that the best possible metabolic control should be sought in obese patients who may eventually be candidates for RYGB.