Prognosis of Primary Tracheal Tumor: A Population-based Analysis

Background: To elucidate the survival outcomes of tracheal tumors and to propose the potential stage of tracheal tumors.

Method: All cases of primary tracheal malignant tumors were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (SEER) during 1973-2013. The overall survival was calculated using Kaplan-Meier method. Cox regression was utilized to identify the prognostic factors.

Result: A total of 287 cases were finally included. The median age of the patients was 59 years. Male patients accounted for 56.1%. The median survival was 57 months. Patients were categorized as Extension1 to 4 (E1-4) and N0-N3. E1 group with size <4 cm had the best prognosis. While E1 >4 cm, E2 and E3 <3 cm groups had similar outcomes, which were superior to E3 >3 cm group. E4 was the worst. N0 patients had ideal prognosis, which were better than N1 and N2 patients. The 3-year survival rates of each T category were 74.7%, 57.3%, 28.1%, and 9.1%, respectively. In multivariate analysis, age, histology, tumor size, and extension were independent prognostic factors.

Conclusion: Patients with old age, large tumor size, advanced extension or no surgery may have worse prognosis. The proposed T category of tracheal tumor incorporating tumor extension and size helped to predict survival outcomes.