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Predictors of Long-term Survival Among First-ever Ischemic and Hemorrhagic Stroke in a Brazilian Stroke Cohort

Overview
Journal BMC Neurol
Publisher Biomed Central
Specialty Neurology
Date 2013 May 28
PMID 23706067
Citations 13
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Abstract

Background: Few studies have examined both ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke to identify prognostic factors associated to long-term stroke survival. We investigated long-term survival and predictors that could adversely influence ischemic and hemorrhagic first-ever stroke prognosis.

Methods: We prospectively ascertained 665 consecutive first-ever ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke cases from "The Study of Stroke Mortality and Morbidity" (The EMMA Study) in a community hospital in São Paulo, Brazil. We evaluated cardiovascular risk factors and sociodemographic characteristics (age, gender, race and educational level).

Results: We found a lower survival rate among hemorrhagic cases compared to ischemic stroke cases at the end of 4 years of follow-up (52% vs. 44%, p = 0.04). The risk of death was two times higher among people with ischemic stroke without formal education. Also, we found consistently higher risk of death for diabetics with ischemic stroke (HR = 1.45; 95% CI = 1.07-1.97) compared to no diabetics. As expected, age equally influenced on the high risk of poor survival, regardless of stroke subtype.

Conclusions: For ischemic stroke, the lack of formal education and diabetes were significant independent predictors of poor long-term survival.

Citing Articles

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Machine learning to predict mortality after rehabilitation among patients with severe stroke.

Scrutinio D, Ricciardi C, Donisi L, Losavio E, Battista P, Guida P Sci Rep. 2020; 10(1):20127.

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