Prognostic Factors in Patients with Advanced Renal Cell Carcinoma

Background: The purpose of this study was to evaluate prognostic factors in patients with RCC.

Materials And Methods: The expression of several biomarkers were measured by immunohistochemistry (IHC), together with 2 analytic factors (thrombocytosis and neutrophilia), in 135 patients with advanced RCC treated with new targeted drugs (NTDs) (n = 67) and/or cytokines (CKs) (n = 68)-with 23 of the patients who received CKs also receiving NTDs-between July 1996 and February 2010. Relationships with overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were searched for.

Results: Univariate statistical analysis revealed that high expression of hypoxia-inducible factor-1α (HIF-1α) correlated with poor prognosis in NTD treatment (PFS, 5.4 vs. 13.5, low expression months; P = .033) and CK treatment (PFS, 3.3 vs. 5.7, low expression; P = .003). Overexpression of carbonic anhydrase IX (CAIX) was associated with better prognosis with NTD treatment (OS, 32.1 vs. 7.8 months; P < .001) and CK treatment (OS, 32.9 vs. 5.9 months; P = .001). Positive PTEN was related to good prognosis with sunitinib (PFS, 15.1 vs. 6.5 months; P = .003) and CKs (OS, 13.7 vs. 7.9 months; P = .039). Increased expression of p21 was related to poor prognosis with NTD treatment (PFS, 5.9 vs. 16.8 months; P = .024) and CK treatment (PFS, 3.9 vs. 7.5 months; P < .001) Thrombocytosis was related to poor prognosis with NTDs (OS, 15.9 vs. 26.7 months; P = .007) and CKs (OS, 5.9 vs. 14.3 months; P = .010). Neutrophilia was related to poor prognosis with NTDs (OS, 17.6 vs. 25.4 months; P = .063) and CKs (OS, 5.9 vs. 12.8 months; P = .035). Multivariate analysis revealed that overexpression of CAIX was a favorable prognostic factor independent of PFS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.107; P < .001) and OS (HR, 0.055; P < .001).

Conclusions: HIF-1α, PTEN, p21, thrombocytosis, neutrophilia, and CAIX in particular are useful prognostic factors in patients with advanced RCC.