Interpreting the Effect of Vaccination on Steady State Infection in Animals Challenged with Simian Immunodeficiency Virus

A representative vaccinated macaque challenged with SIVmac251 establishes a persistent infection with a lower virus load, higher CTL frequencies, and much higher helper cell frequencies, than a representative control animal. The reasons for the difference are not fully understood. Here we interpret this effect using a mathematical model we developed recently to explain results of various experiments on virus and CTL dynamics in SIV-infected macaques and HIV-infected humans. The model includes two types of cytotoxic lymphocytes (CTLs) regulated by antigen-activated helper cells and directly by infected cells, respectively, and predicts the existence of two steady states with different viremia, helper cell and CTL levels. Depending on the initial level of CTL memory cells and helper cells, a representative animal ends up in either the high-virus state or the low-virus state, which accounts for the observed differences between the two animal groups. Viremia in the low-virus state is proportional to the antigen sensitivity threshold of helper cells. Estimating the infectivity ratio of activated and resting CD4 T cells at 200-300, the correct range for the critical memory cell percentage and the viremia peak suppression is predicted. However, the model does not explain why viremia in the "low-virus state" is surprisingly high , relative to vaccinated animals infected with SHIV, and broadly distributed among challenged animals. We conclude that the model needs an update explaining extremely low sensitivity of uninfected helper cells to antigen in vaccinated animals.