Predictive Factors of Early and Sustained Responses to Peginterferon Plus Ribavirin Combination Therapy in Japanese Patients Infected with Hepatitis C Virus Genotype 1b: Amino Acid Substitutions in the Core Region and Low-density Lipoprotein...

Background/aims: We showed previously that amino acid (aa) substitutions in the HCV core region (HCV-CR) are predictors of non-virological response (NVR) to peginterferon (PEG-IFN) plus ribavirin (RBV) therapy. Here, we determined the predictive factors of sustained virological response (SVR) and early virologic response (EVR) to this treatment.

Methods: We evaluated the response to 48-week PEG-IFN-RBV therapy in 114 Japanese adults infected with HCV genotype 1b and determined the predictors of EVR and SVR.

Results: EVR was achieved by 70% and SVR by 45% of patients. 64% of patients who achieved EVR also showed SVR, while none of non-EVR achieved SVR. Multivariate analysis identified low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) (>or=86 mg/dl), aa substitutions in HCV-CR (double-wild-type; arginine at aa 70/leucine at aa 91), gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) (<109 IU/l), RBV dose (>or=11.0mg/kg), and leukocyte count (>or=4500/mm3) as significant determinants of EVR, and aa substitutions in HCV-CR (double-wild-type), LDL-C (>or=86 mg/dl), male gender, ICG R15 (<10%), GGT (<109 IU/l), and RBV dose (>or=11.0 mg/kg) as determinants of SVR. Prediction of response to therapy based on combination of these factors had high sensitivity, specificity, positive, and negative predictive values.

Conclusions: Our study identified aa substitutions in the core region and serum LDL-C as predictors of response to PEG-IFN-RBV therapy in Japanese patients infected with HCV genotype 1b.